Iraq has no hope of political change via Iran or the US – Middle East Monitor
Almost two years after the legislative elections in Iraq, the Baghdad parliament has still not been able to choose a new prime minister. This is mainly due to the rivalry between Shia parties, especially those affiliated with Iran. They don’t want the rug pulled out from under them, having been at the forefront of Iraqi politics since the US invasion and occupation of Iraq and the fall of Saddam Hussein.
It is clear that the Iraqi political scene is complex because of these divisions, multiple crises and the influence of the Popular Mobilization Forces militia, affiliated with Iran. As such, Iraq will likely remain without a new prime minister to assume executive power.
There is no doubt that the victory of the Sadrist movement in the elections surprised everyone and frightened Iran and its proxies in Iraq; the movement led by Muqtada Al-Sadr is not accountable to Iran. It is the opposite of all the Shia organizations with which it clashes. Al-Sadr also clashed with the Americans after they invaded his country and kept a safe distance from Iran, unlike Nouri Al-Maliki’s coordination cadre who is subservient to Tehran and hampered training of a new government by removing its parliamentarians. sessions to choose the prime minister. No legal quorum was therefore possible, so the vacuum persists. This prompted Al-Sadr to announce his withdrawal from parliament; MPs from the Sadrist movement resigned and its supporters stormed the parliament building and staged a protest sit-in. He called on his supporters to stage protests across Iraq.
Meanwhile, the Coordinating Framework has sought to mobilize its supporters for anti-Sadrist protests near the Green Zone, as if it were a war of protests and rival policies to prove strength and arms . All of this suggests that there could be a terrifying confrontation in Iraq that could push the country into political and security turmoil and civil war.
LILY: Sadr’s aide warns of continued attempts to divide power in Iraq
Al-Sadr has made matters worse by pressuring parliament to announce the date of early parliamentary elections by the end of this week, even as his supporters continue to besiege the parliament building. It’s a smart move as he tries to win over Framework supporters and convince them to demonstrate under his banner. He addressed them using emotional language to stir up their patriotic spirit, saying he agreed with the masses about the pervasiveness of corruption in Iraq and calling on supporters of the Coordination Framework to help save the land of occupation, terrorism and corruption.
At the same time, Al-Sadr sent a decisive message to Al-Maliki and his Framework colleagues; his language was both a warning and a threat. Demonstrations must be peaceful in order to preserve civil peace, he insisted. If Al-Maliki refuses to accept this, his cadre will be left alone to seek reform, and the Sadrists will respond to any attempt to clash with the masses protesting under the banner of Muqtada Al-Sadr.
The call for new parliamentary elections would likely see the Al-Maliki cadre lose more seats than last year. In the meantime, he clings to the current parliament.
In his efforts to revive Iraqi patriotism after nineteen years of American occupation and governments that have combined corruption, sectarianism and criminality, Al-Sadr is also calling for the establishment of a new presidential system.
The current stagnation and crises call for rational reflection in order to preserve civil peace and the interests of the people, far from regulatory texts which cannot provide a solution and can even exacerbate the problems given the fact that everyone is armed.
The great dilemma facing all political forces is that they failed to build state institutions after the US invasion of 2003. Today they are unable to provide even the least of what even the countries weaker offer to their citizens.
We know from history that nations and civilizations are not built on empty theories and slogans that are not rooted in the reality of people’s lives and suffering. They are the active people who believe in their cause and are ready to make all the sacrifices by giving their life and their money as the price to pay for the victory of their principles. Therefore, the people of Iraq must rely on themselves and understand their own importance and the vital role they must play in bringing about the desired change. Iraq has no hope of political change through Iran or the United States.
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